National Science Library of Georgia

Trusting judgements : (Record no. 516271)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 02670nam a22003978i 4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field CR9781316282472
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field UkCbUP
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20200124160216.0
006 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--ADDITIONAL MATERIAL CHARACTERISTICS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field m|||||o||d||||||||
007 - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION FIXED FIELD--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field cr||||||||||||
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 141216s2016||||enk o ||1 0|eng|d
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
International Standard Book Number 9781316282472 (ebook)
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
Cancelled/invalid ISBN 9781107112087 (hardback)
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
Cancelled/invalid ISBN 9781107531024 (paperback)
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency UkCbUP
Language of cataloging eng
Description conventions rda
Transcribing agency UkCbUP
050 00 - LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CALL NUMBER
Classification number JF1525.C6
Item number B87 2016
082 00 - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER
Classification number 658.4/6
Edition number 23
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Burgman, Mark A.,
Relator term author.
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Trusting judgements :
Remainder of title how to get the best out of experts /
Statement of responsibility, etc Mark A. Burgman.
264 #1 - Production, Publication, Distribution, Manufacture, and Copyright Notice (R)
Place of production, publication, distribution, manufacture (R) Cambridge :
Name of producer, publisher, distributor, manufacturer (R) Cambridge University Press,
Date of production, publication, distribution, manufacture, or copyright notice 2016.
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 1 online resource (ix, 203 pages) :
Other physical details digital, PDF file(s).
336 ## - Content Type (R)
Content type term (R) text
Content type code (R) txt
Source (NR) rdacontent
337 ## - Media Type (R)
Media type term (R) computer
Media type code (R) c
Source (NR) rdamedia
338 ## - Carrier Type (R)
Carrier type term (R) online resource
Carrier type code (R) cr
Source (NR) rdacarrier
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 01 Feb 2016).
505 8# - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE
Formatted contents note Machine generated contents note: Preface; Acknowledgements; 1. What's wrong with consulting experts?; 2. Kinds of uncertainty; 3. What leads experts astray?; 4. Dealing with individual experts; 5. The wisdom of crowds revisited; 6. Tips to get the best out of experts; Appendix. Sources; References; Index.
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc Policy- and decision-makers in government and industry constantly face important decisions without full knowledge of all the facts. They rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. There are unprecedented opportunities for experts to influence decisions. Yet even the most experienced can be over-confident and error-prone, and the hidden risk is that scientists and other experts can over-reach, often with good intentions, placing more weight on the evidence they provide than is warranted. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice, explains why group judgements outperform individual estimates, and provides an accessible and up-to-date guide to the science of expert judgement. Finally, and importantly, it outlines a simple, practical framework that will help policy- and decision-makers to ensure that the advice that they receive is relatively reliable and accurate, thus substantially improving the quality of information on which critical decisions are made.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Government consultants.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Business consultants.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Expertise
General subdivision Political aspects.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Specialists.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Public administration
General subdivision Decision making.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Business
General subdivision Decision making.
776 08 - ADDITIONAL PHYSICAL FORM ENTRY
Display text Print version:
International Standard Book Number 9781107112087
856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316282472">https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316282472</a>

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