TY  - BOOK
AU  - Palmer,Tim
AU  - Hagedorn,Renate
TI  - Predictability of weather and climate
SN  - 9780511617652 (ebook)
AV  - QC995 .P84 2006
U1  - 551.6365 22
PY  - 2006///
CY  - Cambridge
PB  - Cambridge University Press
KW  - Weather forecasting
KW  - Probability forecasts (Meteorology)
N1  - Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 05 Oct 2015); Ch. 1. Predictability of weather and climate : from theory to practice / T.N. Palmer -- Ch. 2. Predictability from a dynamical meteorological perspective / Brian Hoskins -- Ch. 3. Predictability -- a problem partly solved / Edward N. Lorenz -- Ch. 4. The Liouville equation and atmospheric predictability / Martin Ehrendorfer -- Ch. 5. Application of generalised stability theory to deterministic and statistical prediction / Petros J. Ioannou and Brian F. Farrell -- Ch. 6. Ensemble-based atmospheric data assimilation / Thomas M. Hamill -- Ch. 7. Ensemble forecasting and data assimilation : two problems with the same solution? / Eugenia Kalnay, Brian Hunt, Edward Ott and Isrvan Szunyogh -- Ch. 8. Approximating optimal state estimation / Brian F. Farrell and Petros J. Ioannou -- Ch. 9. Predictability past, predictability present / Leonard A. Smith -- Ch. 10. Predictability of coupled processes / Axel Timmermann and Fei-Fei Jin -- Ch. 11. Predictability of tropical intraseasonal variability / Duane E. Waliser -- Ch. 12. Predictability of seasonal climate variations : a pedagogical review / J. Shukla and J.L. Kinter III -- Ch. 13. Predictability of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation / Mojib Latif, Holger Pohlmann and Wonsun Park -- Ch. 14. On the predictability of flow-regime properties on interannual to interdecadal timescales / Franco Molteni, Fred Kucharski and Susanna Corti -- Ch. 15. Model error in weather and climate forecasting / Myles Allen, David Frame, Jamie Kettleborough and David Stainforth -- Ch. 16. Observations, assimilation and the improvement of global weather prediction -- some results from operational forecasting and ERA-40 / Adrian J. Simmons -- Ch. 17. The ECMWF ensemble prediction system / Roberto Buizza -- Ch. 18. Limited-area ensemble forecasting : the COSMO-LEPS system / Stefano Tibaldi, Tiziana Paccagnella, Chiara Marsigli, Andrea Montani and Fabrizio Nerozzi -- Ch. 19. Operational seasonal prediction / David L.T. Anderson -- Ch. 20. Weather and seasonal climate forecasts using the superensemble approach / T.N. Krishnamurti, T.S.V. Vijaya Kumar, Won-Tae Yun, Arun Chakraborty and Lydia Stefanova -- Ch. 21. Predictability and targeted observations / Alan Thorpe and Guorun Nina Petersen -- Ch. 22. The attributes of forecast systems : a general framework for the evaluation and calibration of weather forecasts / Zoltan Toth, Olivier Talagrand and Yuejian Zhu -- Ch. 23. Predictability from a forecast provider's perspective / Ken Mylne -- Ch. 24. Ensemble forecasts : can they provide useful early warnings? / Francois Lalaurette and Gerald van der Grijn -- Ch. 25. Predictability and economic value / David S. Richardson -- Ch. 26. A three-tier overlapping prediction scheme : tools for strategic and tactical decisions in the developing world / Peter J. Webster, T. Hopson, C. Hoyos, A. Subbiah, H.-R. Chang and R. Grossman -- Ch. 27. DEMETER and the application of seasonal forecasts / Renate Hagedorn, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes and T.N. Palmer
N2  - The topic of predictability in weather and climate has advanced significantly in recent years, both in understanding the phenomena that affect weather and climate and in techniques used to model and forecast them. This book, first published in 2006, brings together some of the world's leading experts on predicting weather and climate. It addresses predictability from the theoretical to the practical, on timescales from days to decades. Topics such as the predictability of weather phenomena, coupled ocean-atmosphere systems and anthropogenic climate change are among those included. Ensemble systems for forecasting predictability are discussed extensively. Ed Lorenz, father of chaos theory, makes a contribution to theoretical analysis with a previously unpublished paper. This well-balanced volume will be a valuable resource for many years. High-calibre chapter authors and extensive subject coverage make it valuable to people with an interest in weather and climate forecasting and environmental science, from graduate students to researchers
UR  - https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511617652
ER  -