000			02582nam a22003858i 4500
001			CR9780511608834
003			UkCbUP
005			20200124160219.0
006			m|||||o||d||||||||
007			cr||||||||||||
008			141103s1999||||enk o ||1 0|eng|d
020			_a9780511608834 (ebook)
020			_z9780521640794 (hardback)
020			_z9780521014670 (paperback)
040			_aUkCbUP _beng _erda _cUkCbUP
050	0	0	_aRA652.2.M3 _bD34 1999
082	0	0	_a614.4/01/5 _221
100	1		_aDaley, Daryl J., _eauthor.
245	1	0	_aEpidemic modelling : _ban introduction / _cD.J. Daley and J. Gani.
264		1	_aCambridge : _bCambridge University Press, _c1999.
300			_a1 online resource (xii, 213 pages) : _bdigital, PDF file(s).
336			_atext _btxt _2rdacontent
337			_acomputer _bc _2rdamedia
338			_aonline resource _bcr _2rdacarrier
490	1		_aCambridge studies in mathematical biology ; _v15
500			_aTitle from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 05 Oct 2015).
505	0		_aSome history -- Deterministic models -- Stochastic models in continuous time -- Stochastic models in discrete time -- Rumours: modelling spread and its cessation -- Fitting epidemic data -- The control of epidemics.
520			_aThis general introduction to the ideas and techniques required for the mathematical modelling of diseases begins with an outline of some disease statistics dating from Daniel Bernoulli's 1760 smallpox data. The authors then describe simple deterministic and stochastic models in continuous and discrete time for epidemics taking place in either homogeneous or stratified (non-homogeneous) populations. Several techniques for constructing and analysing models are provided, mostly in the context of viral and bacterial diseases of human populations. These models are contrasted with models for rumours and vector-borne diseases like malaria. Questions of fitting data to models, and their use in understanding methods for controlling the spread of infection, are discussed. Exercises and complementary results at the end of each chapter extend the scope of the text, which will be useful for students taking courses in mathematical biology who have some basic knowledge of probability and statistics.
650		0	_aEpidemiology _xMathematical models.
650		0	_aEpidemiology _xStatistical methods.
700	1		_aGani, J. M. _q(Joseph Mark), _eauthor.
776	0	8	_iPrint version: _z9780521640794
830		0	_aCambridge studies in mathematical biology ; _v15.
856	4	0	_uhttps://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511608834
999			_c516531 _d516529