000 02522nam a22003258i 4500
001 CR9780511779237
003 UkCbUP
005 20200124160252.0
006 m|||||o||d||||||||
007 cr||||||||||||
008 100519s2010||||enk o ||1 0|eng|d
020 _a9780511779237 (ebook)
020 _z9780521764544 (hardback)
040 _aUkCbUP
_beng
_erda
_cUkCbUP
050 0 0 _aQA279.5
_b.S628 2010
082 0 0 _a519.5/42
_222
100 1 _aSmith, J. Q.,
_d1953-
_eauthor.
245 1 0 _aBayesian decision analysis :
_bprinciples and practice /
_cJim Q. Smith.
264 1 _aCambridge :
_bCambridge University Press,
_c2010.
300 _a1 online resource (ix, 338 pages) :
_bdigital, PDF file(s).
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
500 _aTitle from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 05 Oct 2015).
505 8 _aMachine generated contents note: Preface; Part I. Foundations of Decision Modeling: 1. Introduction; 2. Explanations of processes and trees; 3. Utilities and rewards; 4. Subjective probability and its elicitation; 5. Bayesian inference for decision analysis; Part II. Multi-Dimensional Decision Modeling: 6. Multiattribute utility theory; 7. Bayesian networks; 8. Graphs, decisions and causality; 9. Multidimensional learning; 10. Conclusions; Bibliography.
520 _aBayesian decision analysis supports principled decision making in complex domains. This textbook takes the reader from a formal analysis of simple decision problems to a careful analysis of the sometimes very complex and data rich structures confronted by practitioners. The book contains basic material on subjective probability theory and multi-attribute utility theory, event and decision trees, Bayesian networks, influence diagrams and causal Bayesian networks. The author demonstrates when and how the theory can be successfully applied to a given decision problem, how data can be sampled and expert judgements elicited to support this analysis, and when and how an effective Bayesian decision analysis can be implemented. Evolving from a third-year undergraduate course taught by the author over many years, all of the material in this book will be accessible to a student who has completed introductory courses in probability and mathematical statistics.
650 0 _aBayesian statistical decision theory.
776 0 8 _iPrint version:
_z9780521764544
856 4 0 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511779237
999 _c519640
_d519638